Explainers

The Survivor Coin Flip, Explained: How the Prize Could Hit $3 Million

By Survivor Tribes · · 3 min read

MrBeast, Rick Devens and Jeff Probst at Tribal Council in Survivor 50
CBS

Survivor 51 brought back the coin flip from Season 50, with a twist that carries over between seasons. If a player lands the flip, $1 million is added to CBS's Survivor prize. If they miss, they leave the game on the spot and the $1 million rolls over to the next season. The next flip would then be worth $2 million, which could take the winner's prize to $3 million.

The rule in one table

OutcomeWhat happens to the playerWhat happens to the money
Lands the flipStays in the game$1 million is added to this season's prize
Misses the flipLeaves immediately, with no Tribal CouncilThe $1 million rolls over into the next season's flip
Jeff Probst aboard the boat with the Survivor 51 castaways on Day 1

Survivor 51 began at sea on Day 1. The coin flip rollover was one of the premiere's reveals.

Robert Voets/CBS

That rollover is the new part. In Season 50 the coin flip was a one-off. In Survivor 51 it becomes a running jackpot that carries from season to season until somebody lands it.

Where it came from: Season 50

The flip started in Season 50, the all-returnees 50th season. On Day 19, in Episode 10, Rick Devens volunteered for the MrBeast coin flip, called heads and landed it. That won him immunity for the night and a hidden immunity idol, and raised the season's prize from $1 million to $2 million. CBS has not said whether Season 51's flipper gets the same protection. Aubry Bracco went on to win the season 8–3–0 and took home the $2 million.

That tied the biggest cash prize in the show's history. The only earlier $2 million winner was Tony Vlachos in Winners at War, Season 40, the other season built around returning champions.

The jackpot math

The rollover is what makes the flip interesting beyond one season:

Bar chart: the winner can take $2 million if the Survivor 51 flip lands, $3 million in Season 52 and $4 million in Season 53 if every earlier flip misses

Each missed flip adds $1 million to the next season's pot.

Survivor Tribes

  • Nobody flips, or the flip lands in Season 51: the winner gets $1 million, or $2 million if it lands.
  • The flip misses in Season 51: that season's winner gets $1 million, and Season 52's flip is worth $2 million. Land it, and the Season 52 winner takes $3 million.
  • It misses again: the pot keeps growing by $1 million a season until somebody lands it.

Every season that ends on a miss makes the next flip more tempting. Once a flip finally lands, the cycle resets, and the season after goes back to flipping for $1 million.

The tracker

We will update this table every time a coin is flipped.

SeasonWho flippedResultPrize on the lineWinner's prize
50Rick DevensLanded+$1 million$2 million (Aubry Bracco)
51Not yet offered (as of Episode 1)—+$1 millionTo be decided

Why a player would ever take it

Production has not said when in Survivor 51 the flip will be offered. It is a gamble on your own game. A player who thinks they are on the bottom has little to lose: landing it keeps them in the game and makes the prize bigger. A player who thinks they are winning has a lot to lose, because a miss ends their season on the spot. Watch who gets offered it, and when.

What it means for fantasy

A coin flip is one of the few ways a castaway can leave Survivor without anyone voting against them, so it matters to your roster:

  • A landed flip keeps your castaway in the game, and in Season 50 it also came with immunity and an idol.
  • A missed flip ends their season on the spot, like a boot, and it can happen in an episode where they looked safe.
  • Your Sole Survivor is exposed to it too. If the player you crowned is the type to take a big gamble, that is part of the pick.

Point values for eliminations and Tribal survival are in the house scoring rules, and the other twists in play this season are in our Open Era explainer.

Quick answers

How much money does the Survivor 51 winner get?
The base prize is $1 million. If a player lands the coin flip, another $1 million is added, for $2 million. If a flip is missed, the $1 million rolls into the next season instead.
What happens if a Survivor player loses the coin flip?
They leave the game immediately, with no Tribal Council, and the $1 million they were flipping for rolls over into the next season's coin flip.
Who flipped the coin on Survivor 50?
Rick Devens called heads and landed the Survivor 50 coin flip on Day 19, winning immunity for the night and a hidden immunity idol, and raising that season's prize to $2 million. Aubry Bracco won the season and the $2 million.

Solo Tribe

FREE

Pick your 5 castaways. Name your Sole Survivor, who doubles every point they gain. Compete on the global leaderboard.

Sources: Parade, Survivor 51 prize money rollover and coin flip twist; TheWrap, Jeff Probst explains the Survivor 50 MrBeast coin flip; Wikipedia, Survivor 50: In the Hands of the Fans; Wikipedia, Survivor 51. Survivor Tribes is an independent fan site, not affiliated with CBS.

Keep reading

More to explore